"Roughing the Passer - A PK Frazier Novel"

My new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" is the follow-up to "Illegal Procedure" and "Roughing the Passer" and is now available in print and in e-formats at amazon.com, smashwords.com and iBooks. Follow me on twitter @kevinkrest.

Thursday, October 3, 2013

NCAA FOOTBALL WEEK 6 PREDICTIONS

Texas (2-2) 30 @ Iowa St. (1-2) 24: It looks like Texas has righted the ship, but there are still plenty of question marks about the Longhorns. I'm going with Mack Brown's squad, even though Ames can be a tough place to play.

(12) UCLA (3-0)  34 @ Utah (3-1) 24 :Utah is an overtime loss from being undefeated, but they take a step up in class as they host the Bruins. Jim Mora has his UCLA team eyeing a Pac-12 title, but they have to get out of Salt Lake City with a win to keep their hopes alive. I think they will.

(7) Louisville (4-0)  58 @ Temple (0-4) 10: Louisville hasn't been challenged this season and it won't come from winless Temple on Saturday. In fact, that conference is an absolute joke and it's unbelievable that they'll get a BCS bid. I'll give Louisville an undefeated record right now, but I'd like to have seen them schedule a decent football team.

(25) Maryland (4-0) 27 @ (8) Florida St. (4-0) 34: This should tell us a lot about both teams. Maryland's shellacking of West Virginia looks a lot more impressive given the Mountaineers' win over Oklahoma State last week. Then you have the Seminoles, who in the last two or three years seem to stub their toes against an ACC opponent to hurt their conference and national hopes. I think FSU will prevail at home.

(20) Texas Tech (4-0) 37 @ Kansas (2-1) 21: The Red Raiders may be one of the most underrated teams in the country. I don't think Kansas has the firepower to pull the upset against Kliff Kingsbury's fast-paced offense.

Illinois (3-1) 31 @ Nebraska (3-1) 28: The Illini are a playing well and stand a chance to be a bit of a spoiler in the Big Ten's Leaders division. Nebraska better be ready to play as Illinois gave a terrific Washington team all they could handle in a ten point loss. I'm going with an upset on this one.

Michigan St. (3-1)  17 @ Iowa (4-1) 27: I like the way the Hawkeyes are playing, especially defensively as they host the Spartans. Michigan St. has been surprisingly good, but they lack the offense I think they need to win this week.

Georgia St. (0-4) 3 @ (1) Alabama (4-0) 49: Really?

North Carolina (1-3) 17 @Virginia Tech (4-1)  24: Before the season, UNC was a fashionable pick in the ACC Coastal Division. But after getting drubbed at home, 55 - 31 to East Carolina, a team Va. Tech beat on the road, I think it's time to reassess the Tar Heels. Of course, I'm a Tech grad and fan, so I'm hardly objective here. But that aside, the Hokies defense has been stifling with the exception of the first half against Marshall. They are also showing signs of coming to life offensively behind disappointing quarterback Logan Thomas. No contest.

(3) Clemson (4-0) 34 @ Syracuse (2-2) 23: Despite this game looking like a mismatch on paper, the Tigers need to look no further than their former Big East conference brethren Miami, Virginia Tech and Boston College to hear the horror stories of entering the Carrier Dome as big favorites. I won't go against Clemson, but it's a different kind of place to play.

(6) Georgia (3-1) 35 @ Tennessee (3-2) 24: This is the first of a rugged three game stretch for Tennessee, as they host South Carolina next week before traveling to Alabama. The Bulldogs won a big one last week against LSU and need to guard against a letdown as they travel to Knoxville. I think they're worthy of the lofty ranking and that while Butch Jones has the Vols heading in the right direction, I think they're a year or two away from challenging Georgia.

Georgia Tech (3-1) 27 @ (14) Miami (4-0) 26: The Yellow Jackets' running game was totally shut down last week by Virginia Tech. Miami's defense hasn't really been tested, so it's difficult to know how they'll react to Georgia Tech's triple option. At least they'll have tape on how to do it. I'm not a buyer yet on Miami, so I'm going with the Yellow Jackets in an upset on the road.

Kansas St. (2-2) 20 @ (21) Oklahoma St. (3-1) 38: The Cowboys laid an egg in Morgantown last week to put a big dent in their Big 12 championship hopes. They'll be looking to make a statement this weekend.

(23) Fresno St. (4-0) 51 @ Idaho (1-4) 31: Can anyone tell my how a team that gives up over 38 points a game against a lousy schedule can maintain a ranking of 23rd in the country? They'll win easily against one of the worst teams in FBS, but they don't deserve that ranking.

Minnesota (4-1) 27 @ (19) Michigan (4-0)  24: I'm not sure what happened to Michigan after their win against Notre Dame, but they've struggled to defeat Akron and Connecticut in consecutive weeks. I can buy one game like that, but two in a row is a very bad sign. The Gophers loss to Iowa last week will probably look a lot better as the season progresses. I'm taking Minnesota to knock off what appears to be an uninspired Wolverine team.

(2) Oregon (4-0) 52 @ Colorado (2-1) 27: I'm sure the atmosphere in Boulder will be electric after all of the tragedy caused by the flooding in the area. My heart goes out to those folks. Unfortunately, I doubt the Ducks will be in such a benevolent mood inside the stadium. Oregon probably has a loss or two in them this season, but this won't be one of them.

(10) LSU (4-1) 34 @ Mississippi St. (2-2) 24: That game that LSU barely lost to Georgia last week was a classic. Mississippi State would have preferred to face the Tigers on a different week, I'm sure. Facing the Bulldogs for the second consecutive week will turn out better for LSU this time around.

TCU (2-2) 20 @(11) Oklahoma (4-0) 28: The Sooners are for real and with Oklahoma's loss to West Virginia become the favorites in the Big 12, as long as they can stop Baylor. The Horned Frogs are just a notch below and will have a tough time in Norman.

Arkansas (3-2) 24 @ (18) Florida (3-1) 20 : Florida continues to win despite a very weak offense. Arkansas gave Texas A&M all they could handle last week. I keep picking the Hogs out of season ticket holder loyalty, but this time I truly believe that Florida's offensive woes will finally do them in.

(24) Ole Miss (3-1)  38 @ Auburn (3-1) 31: Ole Miss hit the skids last week at Tuscaloosa, but there's no shame there. I actually think this is a pretty even game, but Gus Malzahn's offense at Auburn still isn't clicking on all cylinders. I think the Rebels will bounce back and return to what they did to average close to 40 points a game in their first three wins.

Kentucky (1-3) 17 @ (13) South Carolina (3-1) 30: The Gamecocks pulled out a tough win in Orlando against UCF despite falling behind by ten points at the half. Kentucky can't score consistently enough to beat South Carolina in their house.

(22) Arizona St. (3-1) 37 vs. Notre Dame (3-2) 34: The house that Jerry built in Arlington, Texas is the site for this one. This could be one of the most entertaining games of the weekend. The Sun Devils are starting to get some momentum and Notre Dame is struggling on offense. I like Arizona State in another  shootout, but this time I don't expect the opposing coach to get fired after the game.

(4) Ohio St. (5-0)  30 @ (16) Northwestern (4-0) 27: I'm not a big believer in either of these teams, although I think Ohio State is better. The Wildcats are suspect on defense and I believe Ohio State can stop them more than the other way around.

West Virginia (3-2) 28 @ (17) Baylor (3-0) 31: Baylor has rolled three nobodies on the way to an undefeated start. The Mountaineers showed last week in its win over Oklahoma State that they can stop a high powered offense. Baylor has yet to face a quality opponent, while West Virginia is battle tested with three games against ranked opponents already this season, admittedly with mixed results. I'll give the Bears the edge in a tight one.


(15) Washington (4-0) 28 @ (5) Stanford  (4-0) 34: I'm really looking forward to watching this game. Stanford has been very impressive and I like that the Huskies have returned to national relevance. I know it's tough to get for those of you in the east, but the Pac-12 is very deep and is the second best conference in college football, just behind the SEC West. Oh, you want a prediction. If this game was at Washington, my pick might be different, but I'm going with the Cardinal in an entertaining one.