"Roughing the Passer - A PK Frazier Novel"

My new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" is the follow-up to "Illegal Procedure" and "Roughing the Passer" and is now available in print and in e-formats at amazon.com, smashwords.com and iBooks. Follow me on twitter @kevinkrest.

Saturday, October 22, 2016

COLLEGE FOOTBALL: WEEK 8 PICKS

Last Week:    21 - 7      75.0 %
Overall:        171 - 49   77.7 %

NC State (4 - 2) 30 @ (7) Louisville (6 - 1) 28: Last week I predicted that NC State would give Clemson all they could handle and I was right. This week I'm going to go one step farther and pick the Wolfpack to break through with a big win over the Cardinals.

(10) Wisconsin (4 - 2) 21 @ Iowa  (5 - 2) 23: I picked Iowa to win the Big Ten  West before the season and they seem to have found their running game after a tough start. Wisconsin might be the class of the division, but the schedule just isn't doing them any favors. After a couple of road wins, Iowa returns home and I think they can pull the upset.

(22) North Carolina (5 - 2) 37 @ Virginia (2 - 4) 27: The Tar Heels took out Miami last week to stay in the ACC Coastal race, but they don't control their own destiny, needing a Va. Tech loss to have a chance at the division title. I think Virginia will give them a tough battle in Charlottesville, but Carolina probably has too much offense for the 'Hoos.

E. Michigan (5 - 2) 17 @ (20) W. Michigan (7 - 0) 38: Western is looking to position themselves for a New Year's Day bowl and they should be able to take care of business against Eastern. However, I think this one will be a lot closer than the 24 point line.

(6) Texas A&M (6 - 0) 31 @ (1) Alabama (7 - 0) 40: It's almost impossible to fathom that the Tide are 17 1/2 point favorites over a very good A&M team. I like Alabama to win, but not by that much.

Illinois (2 - 4) 13 @ (3) Michigan (6 - 0) 51: There's no reason to think that Michigan won't continue to roll toward their meeting with Ohio State.

Purdue (3 - 3) 16 @ (8) Nebraska (6 - 0) 30: Purdue fired their head coach, apparently because they feel that without a decent recruiting base, up to date facilities and really no track record of success in the last ten years, a .500 record just doesn't cut it. Really?

Memphis (5 - 1) 27 @ (24) Navy (4 - 1) 30: Navy shocked Houston and now they face another tough league foe. Memphis has a decent rushing defense, but the Middies gained a lot of confidence against the Cougars.

TCU (4 - 2) 27 @ (12) West Virginia (5 - 0) 31: This is a big game for the Mountaineers as they try to make a case to be in the upper echelon of the Big 12. TCU isn't quite as strong as in the last couple of seasons and are going into a very hostile environment.

(19) Utah (6 - 1) 17 @  UCLA (3 - 4) 20: UCLA has a pretty god team, but they just don't seem to be firing on all cylinders. Their defense has been tough, but offensively QB Josh Rosen is banged up and just not as effective as I thought he would be this season. I'm taking the Bruins to win a close, low scoring game.

(17) Arkansas (5 - 2) 27 @ (21) Auburn (4 - 2) 24: Arkansas rebounded from a loss to Alabama with a close win over Ole Miss. After a tough start, Auburn's defense has stiffened and the Hogs will be challenged to put points on the board, but Arkansas has shown a lot of balance offensively.

Oregon State (2 - 4) 13 @ (5) Washington (6 - 0) 34: I have a feeling the Huskies will eventually have a tough game, but this probably isn't the week. They should keep on rolling.

(11) Houston (6 - 1) 41 @ SMU (2 - 4) 16: SMU doesn't have a lot to offer for a chance at a big upset against Houston. The Cougars are still in the running to be the Group of Five representative in a New Years Day bowl game.

(2) Ohio State (6 - 0) 27 @ Penn State (4 - 2) 17: The Nittany Lions are hosting their third consecutive Big Ten opponent and looked very good two weeks ago against Maryland. After a week off, they take on one of the top teams in college football. This game will be a good barometer for how far James Franklin's team has come.

(16) Oklahoma (4 - 2) 41 @ Texas Tech (3 - 3) 30: After a tough start to the season, Oklahoma has started to look more like the team that made it to the playoffs last season. To win against the Red Raiders they're likely to have to win a shootout as they are vulnerable against the pass.

(25) Ole Miss (3 - 3) 24 @ (25) LSU (4 - 2) 27: Ole Miss lost a heartbreaker at Arkansas last week and now have to regroup in time for a trip to Death Valley. If LSU gets the running game going, it could be a long night for the Rebels.

Syracuse (4 - 3) 24  @ Boston College (3 - 3) 16: Syracuse drilled Va. Tech last week and is still an underdog to a one-dimensional Boston College team. I think the Orange has too much offense for the Eagles.

Oklahoma State (4 - 2) 34 @ Kansas (1 - 5) 24: This should be an easy one for Oklahoma State, but a shaky defense keeps Cowboy fans from taking anything for granted.

Texas (3 - 3) 30 @ Kansas State (3 - 3) 23: There are lot of indications that Texas coach Charlie Strong is probably on his way out, and a loss today in Manhattan would just solidify those thoughts. Kansas State plays tough defense but they've been shredded the last two weeks.

Rutgers (2 - 5) 17 @ Minnesota (4 - 2) 34: Rutgers has struggled this season and it won't be much different today on the road.

Don't forget to check out my new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" at  Amazon.com and listen to me Friday's at 8:40 am EDT/ 7:40 am CDT on Lou in the Morning, streaming live on www.WPFLradio.com, 105.1 FM. I can also be reached via email at kevin@pkfrazier.com.