Disclaimer: I haven't really been following the off season
NFL stories, as I've been busy publishing one book and starting another. So
this is kind of a crap shoot. I pick the games straight up, with little regard
for the betting lines. Don't get me wrong, I bet, but that's a whole different
process. Anyway, here are the first picks of the season.
DENVER (HOME TEAM IN CAPS) 30 Baltimore 24: I think there
will be a true revenge factor here. The Broncos literally gave that playoff
game to the Ravens. I don't think they'll be that generous tonight.
PITTSBURGH 27 Tennessee 24: When in doubt in the NFL, I
generally take the home team. The Steelers, off a down year, have something to
prove.
New England 27
BUFFALO 20: I know there were a lot of distractions for the Patriots and they
have a real issue at tight end, but the Bills are going with untested rookie EJ
Manuel at QB. Brady and Company will find a way to get it done.
Atlanta 30 NEW ORLEANS 28: This is one of the best Week One
matchups. Sean Payton is back coaching the Saints and they'll be hungry to show
the home crowd that they can contend again. But the Falcons also have a lot to
prove. This was a tossup for me.
Tampa Bay 24 NEW YORK JETS 17: I'm being very generous by
thinking the Jets can score 17 points. This team and organization is a train
wreck right now. The Bucs, while not yet an elite team, are on the rise.
Kansas City 27 JACKSONVILLE 24: Not sure why I'm going with
the Chiefs, but I like Andy Reid hooked up with Alex Smith at QB. You add Jamal
Charles at RB and you have a pretty formidable combo.
SEATTLE 30 Carolina 20: Let's see, the Panthers have Cam
Newton. The Seahawks have Russell Wilson. The Panthers have Cam Newton. The
Seahawks have Marshawn Lynch. The Panthers have Cam Newton. The Seahawks have a
shut down defense. Okay, you get the picture.
CLEVELAND 27 Miami 24: There is really no logic to this
pick.
DETROIT 21 Minnesota 20: Eventually all of that talent that
the Lions have should come together. This is another pick 'em game for me, but
I'll go with the home team.
INDIANAPOLIS 34 Oakland 17: The Raiders are the worst
organization in the league and the product they will put on the field this
season will reflect that. Outside of Darren McFadden, they have, well, nothing.
CHICAGO 28 Cincinnati 27: Another really close pick, but
I'll give the nod to the Bears at Soldier Field.
ST. LOUIS 24 Arizona 17: The Cardinals are a bit of a mystery
to me, but the Rams, in their second season under coach Jeff Fisher, need to
make things happen. I like them here.
SAN FRANCISCO 37 Green Bay 34: In the playoffs last season,
Colin Kaepernick totally dismantled the Packers. I think they'll make some adjustments, but
the Niners are the complete deal and should manage to withstand an Aaron
Rodgers assault.
DALLAS 30 New York Giants 20: The Giants have a lot of
question marks and the Cowboys are poised to make a run, if Romo can avoid the
brain farts.
WASHINGTON 27 Philadelphia 20: As a diehard Redskin fan, this one is a great
start to the season. I'm also a Virginia Tech Hokie, so you can throw in the
Michael Vick piece of the story as well. I think the difference will be the
Washington running game. At least I hope
so.
SAN DIEGO 31 Houston 28: The Texans' Gary Kubiak is on the
hot seat and this game won't help much. I have no reason for picking the
Chargers, other than they have a new coach and they're at home.
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