"Roughing the Passer - A PK Frazier Novel"

My new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" is the follow-up to "Illegal Procedure" and "Roughing the Passer" and is now available in print and in e-formats at amazon.com, smashwords.com and iBooks. Follow me on twitter @kevinkrest.

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK THREE PREDICTIONS RECAP

Last Week:  26 - 6   81.2%
Overall:       85 - 11 88.5%

Not a bad week considering the number of close match-ups, not to mention the Iowa loss to FCS North Dakota State. I still managed to remain above 80% for the weekend and close to 90% for the season.

Thursday Night:

(6) Houston (2 - 0) 31 @ Cincinnati (2 - 0) 17:  Correct: Houston 40 - 16,  missed spread by 10, missed total points by 8

Friday Night:

(21) Baylor (2 - 0) 40 @ Rice (0 - 2) 13: Baylor continues their consistent play and head into the Big 12 season with momentum. Correct: 38 - 10, 1, 5

Saturday:

South Carolina State (0 - 2) 10 @ (5) Clemson (2 - 0) 37: Clemson finally seemed to hit their stride offensively, even if it was against overmatched competition.  Correct: Clemson  59 - 0, 32, 12

(2) Florida State (2 - 0) 34 @ (10) Louisville (2 - 0) 28: I expected Florida State's defense to outplay that of the Cardinals, but the 'Noles just didn't show up on Saturday. It was a big day for Louisville on both sides of the ball, an anomaly for a Bobby Petrino team. No. Louisville 63 - 20, 49, 21

Ohio (1 - 1) 27 @ (15) Tennessee (2 - 0) 34: I'm still not totally sold on Tennessee. They have Florida this week which will be a huge test for their offense. Correct: 28 - 19, 2, 14

North Dakota State (2 - 0) 21 @ (13) Iowa (2 - 0) 30: Not really a shocker considering North Dakota State has won five consecutive FCS titles and now six straight games against FBS teams. No: North Dakota State 23 - 21, 11, 7

Georgia State (0 - 2) 6 @ (9) Wisconsin (2 - 0) 42: A bit of a surprise from the Badgers. Correct: Wisconsin 23 - 17, 30

(25) Miami (2 - 0) 27 @ Appalachian State (1 - 1) 24 : It will hard for App St. to sneak up on anyone after their almost win over Tennessee to start the season.  Correct: Miami 45 - 10, 32, 4

(1) Alabama (2 - 0) 27 @ (19) Ole Miss (1 - 1) 19: After going down 24 - 3 early in the game, it looked like the Rebels were going to make it three consecutive over the Tide.  Correct: Alabama 48 - 43, 3, 45

Colorado (2 - 0) 16 @ (4) Michigan (2 - 0) 31: Colorado kept it close early, but couldn't hang with the Wolverines. Correct: Michigan 45 - 28, 2, 26

(22) Oregon (2 - 0) 28 @ Nebraska (2 - 0) 30: The 'Huskers could make a real run at the Big Ten West title. Correct: Nebraska 35 - 32, 1, 9

(17) Texas A&M (2 - 0) 27 @ Auburn (1 - 1) 23: The Aggies have a big game against Arkansas in Dallas on Saturday to establish a legitimate contender to Alabama in the SEC West. Correct: Texas A&M 29 - 16, 11, 5

Mississippi State (1 - 1) 20 @ (20) LSU (1 - 1) 24: It looked like an LSU rout early, but the Bulldogs made it close late. It's still hard to be sold on the Tigers. Correct: LSU 23 - 20, 1, 1

North Texas (1 - 1) 10 @ (23) Florida (2 - 0) 41: That Gator defense is stout, giving up less than 130 yards a game. No real competition yet, but that's a good number no matter they're playing. Correct: Florida 32 - 0, 1, 19

(12) Michigan State (1 - 0) 20 @ (18) Notre Dame (1 - 1) 27: Mike Dantonio seems to get his team ready to play ranked opponents. Notre Dame appears to be a notch below the last few seasons. No: Michigan State 36 - 28, 15, 17

Texas State (1 - 0) 20 @ (24) Arkansas (2 - 0) 30: The Hogs dominated, jumping to number 17 in the AP poll. As mentioned earlier, they have a big test against Texas A&M this week. Correct: Arkansas 42 - 3, 29, 5

(16) Georgia (2 - 0) 27 @ Missouri (1 - 1) 17: As I mentioned in my original pick, this appeared to be a trap game for Georgia and they played like it. Nothing impressive from the Bulldogs, but they got to 3 - 0. Correct: Georgia 28 - 27, 9, 11

(3) Ohio State (2 - 0) 30 @ (14) Oklahoma (1 - 1) 27: Oklahoma somehow remains ranked after a 1 - 2 start. It looks like a long season in Norman. Correct: Ohio State 45 - 24, 18, 12

Portland State (1 - 1) 13 @ (8) Washington (2 - 0) 34: Not much to learn from a win over a middling FCS team. Correct: Washington 41 - 3, 17, 3

USC (1 - 1) 20 @ (7) Stanford (2 - 0) 28: I'm not sure whether Stanford is that good or USC is still a mess. I'm thinking it's a little of both. Correct: Stanford 27 - 10,  9, 11

(11) Texas (2 - 0) 37 @ California (1 - 1) 31: I watched this one and I'm still not sure how the Longhorns let it get away from them. No: California 50 - 43, 13, 25

Vanderbilt (1 - 1) 17 @ Georgia Tech (2 - 0) 28: Someone on ESPN's College Game Day picked Vanderbilt to win this one. They should lose their seat on the set. There's no way Vandy has the athletes to contain that read option when it's clicking. Correct: Ga.Tech 38 - 7, 20, 0

Boston College (1 - 1) 16 @ Virginia Tech (1 - 1) 24: Hokie fans have to be excited after Tech totally dismantled what was considered a strong BC defense. The Eagles have former Hokie offensive coordinator Scott Loeffler in the same position, and he seems just as boring and predictable as he was in Blacksburg. Correct: Va. Tech 49 - 0, 41, 9

Pittsburgh (1 - 1) 30 @ Oklahoma State (1 - 1) 34: Once again, the so-called experts on ESPN went for the Panthers. Maybe they should watch more football instead of just talking about it all the time. Correct: Oklahoma State 45 - 28, 13, 9

Duke (1 - 1) 20 @ Northwestern (0 - 2) 17: Duke is definitely in a down year, with consecutive double digit losses to Wake Forest and a mediocre Northwestern team. No: Northwestern 24 - 13, 14, 0

Iowa State (0 - 2) 17 @ TCU (1 - 1) 41: You have to wonder if Iowa State can ever get to a competitive position in the Big 12.  Correct: TCU 41 - 20, 3, 3

Temple (1 - 1) 20 @ Penn State (1 - 1) 31: Penn State still hasn't shown significant improvement under coach James Franklin. The fans in State College will start to get impatient pretty soon.  Correct: Penn State 34 - 27, 4, 10

UCLA (1 - 1) 28 @ BYU (1 - 1) 24: Even though they didn't put up a lot of points, UCLA quarterback Josh Rosen looked very pro-like Saturday night. They face Stanford this week and how the Bruins fare will tell us a lot about their prospects for the rest of the season. Correct: UCLA 17 - 14, 1, 21

Utah (2 - 0) 30 @ San Jose State (1 - 1) 21: Utah is quietly getting ready for the Pac-12 season. The South is wide open and they will probably contend. Correct: Utah 34 - 17, 8, 0

East Carolina (2 - 0) 31 @ South Carolina (1 - 1) 27: ECU was clearly the better team, but had a lot of trouble punching it in from the Red Zone. It was a frustrating game for Pirate fans. No: South Carolina 20 - 15, 9, 23

Western Michigan (2 - 0) 34 @ Illinois (1 - 1) 30: Western Michigan polished off its second Big Ten opponent of the season.  Correct: Western Michigan 34 - 10, 20, 20

La. Tech (1 - 1) 38 @ Texas Tech (1 - 1) 44: As predicted, it was a shootout and not many non-power five teams can stay with Texas Tech in a track meet. Correct: Texas Tech 59 - 45, 8, 22

Don't forget to check out my new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" at  Amazon.com and listen to me Friday's at 8:40 am EDT/ 7:40 am CDT on Lou in the Morning, streaming live on www.WPFLradio.com, 105.1 FM. I can also be reached via email at kevin@pkfrazier.com.