"Roughing the Passer - A PK Frazier Novel"

My new book, "Offsetting Penalties - A PK Frazier Novel" is the follow-up to "Illegal Procedure" and "Roughing the Passer" and is now available in print and in e-formats at amazon.com, smashwords.com and iBooks. Follow me on twitter @kevinkrest.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK SIX PICKS

Last Week: 15 - 7
Overall: 96 - 26

New Mexico State (0 - 4) 24 @ (14) Ole Miss (4 - 1) 63: The Rebels will be able to score at will on a very poor Aggie defense.

(3) Baylor (4 - 0) 60 @ Kansas (0 - 4) 13: I liked TCU better than Baylor at the beginning of the season, but the Bears are emerging as the team to beat in the Big 12. Unfortunately, Kansas isn't the squad to have a chance to do it. The Jayhawks are near the bottom of the rankings in rushing defense. This one could get very ugly.

(10) Oklahoma (4 - 0) 31 vs. Texas (1 - 4) 17 (Dallas, TX): The Longhorns appear to be headed for a non-bowl season, a pretty difficult feat considering 82 teams will make bowl games. I thought the Sooners were going to go down last week, but played well to scorch West Va. Texas is a mess on both sides of the ball and needs to play with more intensity.

Illinois (4 - 1) 20 @ (22) Iowa (5 - 0) 24: The Big Ten has suddenly gotten very interesting. Northwestern, Iowa, Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Michigan and Ohio State all are in the running. The Hawkeyes, with a win over Wisconsin already in the books, can get in very good position with a win today. But Illinois likes to throw and that's the weaker part of Iowa's defense.

Kent State (2 - 3) 21 @ (24) Toledo (4 - 0) 27: Toledo is playing solid football and they'll need to stay focused against a Kent State teams that doesn't allow a lot of yardage, but their schedule hasn't  been that difficult compared to Toledo.

Navy (4 - 0) 23 @ Notre Dame (4 - 1) 28: The Irish are trying to bounce back from a tough loss at Clemson. The Midshipmen are always tough to defend and they're averaging almost 340 yards on the ground. Notre Dame is vulnerable on the ground, but I think they have too much for Navy.

Maryland (2 - 3) 20 @ (1) Ohio State (5 - 0) 34: The top-ranked Buckeyes have looked sluggish since their opening pounding of Virginia Tech. Eventually that will come back to bit them, but probably not today against a struggling Terrapin team.

(13) Northwestern (5 - 0) 13 @ (18) Michigan (4 - 1) 17: I'm not sure many people could have predicted the significance of this game before the season started. The Wolverines are playing defense at a high level, as are the Wildcats. I like Michigan in a close, low scoring affair.

(7) LSU (4 - 0) 27 @ South Carolina (2 - 3) 19 (Baton Rouge, LA): Due to flooding in South Carolina, the game has been moved to LSU. An already  tough game for the Gamecocks suddenly got a lot more difficult. They're going to have to improve on defense to stop Leonard Fournette.

(19) Georgia (4 - 1) 30 @ Tennessee (2 - 3) 21: The Volunteers have had difficulty closing out games, but the bigger issue for them is the lack of a reliable defense. After getting drubbed by Alabama, the Bulldogs should have a much better time running the ball against Tennessee.

Georgia Tech (2 - 3) 21@ (6) Clemson (4 - 0) 31: With their big win over Notre Dame last week, Clemson vaulted onto the national scene. The Yellow Jackets, after high expectations, have been a big disappointment. With no passing game and the option offense sputtering, it could be a long day for Georgia Tech.

Arkansas (2 - 3) 21 @ (8) Alabama (4 - 1) 27: Just when it was easy to count the Tide out of the national picture, they went into Athens and blew the doors of Georgia and put a big dent in the Bulldogs' layoff chances. Last year, Arkansas almost upset Alabama in Fayetteville, falling short by a point. The Hog defense isn't nearly as good this season.

(21) Oklahoma State (5 - 0) 27 @ West Virginia (3 - 1) 30: I'm not sold on Oklahoma State and I think the Mountaineers are a better team than they showed last week in Norman against OU. I expect West Virginia to play better defense and upset the Cowboys.

(25) Boise State (4 - 1) 34 @ Colorado State (2 - 3) 13: Boise appeared back in the national rankings this week and should take care of business against the Rams. A stingy Broncos defense will make it difficult for Colorado State to put many points on the board.

(2) TCU (5 - 0) 37 @ Kansas State (3 - 1) 28: After a rout of Texas, the Horned Frogs head to the Little Apple to try and keep the momentum going in the Big 12. Kansas State doesn't really have enough to stay with TCU, but I think this one might be closer than people expect.

(11) Florida (5 - 0) 17 @ Missouri (4 - 1) 20: I'm not a fan of Missouri, but they keep finding ways to win. The Gators appear to be back, but they'll need to score some points against a tough defense in Columbia. After a one point win against Tennessee and a five point victory over Kentucky before that, Florida broke out against Ole Miss. I'm not sold on either of these teams. I'm taking Missouri in an upset.

Miami (3 - 1) 17 @ (12) Florida State  (4 - 0) 27: Notre Dame transfer Everett Golston been having a tough time adapting to the Seminole offense. But an unexpectedly tough Florida State defense has continued to bail him out. The Hurricanes stubbed their toe against Cincinnati last week and they'll need to step it up if they expect to knock off Florida State in Tallahassee.

(4) Michigan State (5 - 0) 30 @ Rutgers (2 - 2) 23: After an impressive win over a rebuilding Oregon team, Michigan State appears to be sleepwalking. If they play like the team that we expected for this season, a win against the Scarlet Knights is probable.

(23) California (5 - 0) 24 @ (5) Utah (4 - 0) 27: I'm looking forward to this one. I like Utah's balance and the way they play defense. Cal will want to put up some points and stretch the Utes, but I think the home team prevails tonight.

Don't forget to check out my new book, "Roughing the Passer - A PK Frazier Novel" and my first, "Illegal Procedure - A PK Frazier Novel", available in print and e-formats at Amazon.com, iBooks and Smashwords. The third installment, "Offsetting Penalties" is due out in the fall.