"Unplayable Lie - A PK Frazier Novel

My new book, "Unplayable Lie - A PK Frazier Novel" is the fourth installment of the wildly popular series and is now available in print and in e-formats at PK Frazier Follow me on twitter @kevinkrest.

Sunday, September 27, 2020

NFL WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS: 80% SUCCESS RATE IN JEOPARDY

Week 3 shapes up as a tough one for predictions. After a pretty strong start to the season, I could take a real beating this after a difficult slate of games. Sunday night has the 2-0 Packers visiting the 1-1 Saints and the week ends with Monday’s clash between heavy weight Baltimore hosting defending champion Kansas City. This could be a real blood bath.

Last Week:

Straight up:  14-1  93.3%

Against the Spread (ATS): 9-6  60%

Overall:

Straight Up: 24-6  80%

ATS: 19-11  63.3%

 Chicago (2-0) 26 @ Atlanta (0-2) (-3.0) (47.5): I can understand why the winless Falcons are favorites over the undefeated Bears, but for some reason I like the Bears.

Los Angeles Rams (2-0) 27 @ Buffalo (2-0) (-2.0) 24 (47.0): The Rams have been impressive with wins over the Cowboys and Eagles. They play their second consecutive game on the east coast, but this team looks like the 2018 version to me and can squeak one out in Buffalo. 

Washington (1-1) 23 @ Cleveland (1-1) (-7.0) 20 (45.0): For some reason, I just can’t buy into the Browns winning consecutive games. Washington looked great in the final three quarters of Game 1 against the Eagles, but struggled in Arizona last week. That Cardinals loss won’t look that bad as the season progresses.

Tennessee (2-0) (-2.5) 26 @ Minnesota (0-2) 23 (49.0): It’s been a rough start for the Vikings and the Titans don’t intend to make it any easier for them. This is my fourth straight road team I’m picking to win. Am I crazy or what?

Las Vegas (2-0) 30 @ New England (1-1) (-6.0) 28 (47.5): Why stop now? I like what Jon Gruden has done with the Raiders and I think they’ll roll into Foxboro with a little bit of an edge. The Patriots are still lacking skill player depth, despite the addition of Cam N:ewton at quarterback.

San Francisco (1-1) (-4.0) 24 @ New York Giants (0-2) 27 (41.5): The Giants have competed well in their two losses and despite losing running back Saquon Barkley for the season, they have a good chance to get their first win over a banged up Niners team playing their second consecutive game in the Meadowlands.

Cincinnati (0-2) 24 @ Philadelphia (0-2) (-5.5) 31 (46.0): After taking a 17-0 lead over Washington in Week 1, the Eagles have pretty much disappeared. It’s time for them to show up.

Houston (0-2) 20 @ Pittsburgh (2-0) (-4.0) 27 (45.0): The Texans have been victims of a brutal beginning to 2020, with losses to conference leaders Kansas City and Baltimore. Even so, they haven’t looked good, and Pittsburgh has.

New York Jets (0-2) 24 @ Indianapolis (1-1) (-10.5) 30 (44.5): The Colts stubbed their toe against the Jaguars in their first game, but enter their third game as the biggest favorites of the week. I like the Jets to keep this closer than expected.

Carolina (0-2) 22 @ Los Angeles Chargers (1-1) (-6.5) 30 (43.5): The Chargers got a great game out of rookie backup quarterback Justin Herbert last week. He will start again against the Panthers, who will have a tough afternoon in Southern California.

Tampa Bay (1-1) (-6.0) 20 @ Denver (0-2) 24 (43.0): The Broncos might be the best 0-2 team in the league. Tampa Bay quarterback Tom Brady has a lot of fond experience as a visitor in Denver, but this one might not be as pleasant. 

Detroit (0-2) 17 @ Arizona (2-0) (-5.5) 27 (55.5):  The Cardinals have been impressive this season and there is nothing to lead anyone to believe Detroit has enough to give them big trouble in this one. 

Dallas (1-1) 23 @ Seattle (2-0) (-4.5) 27 (56.0): The Cowboys could easily have won both of their games, or lost them both. Instead they split, but will have to play better as they head to Seattle. The Seahawks have played great in their first two games.

Green Bay (2-0) 31 @ New Orleans (1-1) (-3.0) 27 (52.5): For some reason, despite scoring more points than any other team, heads to the Big Easy as underdogs. That’s not my opinion, as I think the Packers are the most dangerous team in the league. 

Kansas City (2-0) 30 @ Baltimore (2-0) (-3.5) 28 (54.5): In what is easily the most anticipated game of the week, if not the season, we’ll get to see the two most exciting players in the game. Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs and Lamar Jackson of the Ravens will feature their quarterbacking skills on Monday Night Football. I’m sticking with the defending champs.

 The latest novel in the PK Frazier series is now available. "Unplayable Lie", as well as the first three installments, can be found at PK Frazier novels

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