"Unplayable Lie - A PK Frazier Novel

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Saturday, October 12, 2013

WEEK 7 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS


(1) Alabama (5-0) 30 @ Kentucky (1-4) 13: Kentucky is getting better, but not better enough to hand the Crimson Tide a loss.

(2) Oregon (5-0)  37 @  (16) Washington (4-1) 31:What a scheduling nightmare for Washington, facing Stanford and Oregon in back to back games. The Huskies are tough at home and the Ducks typically struggle in one road game a year against strong teams. I still think Oregon prevails in a nail biter.

Boston College (3-2) 20 @ (3) Clemson (5-0) 38: BC gave Florida State a game, but not on the road. The only thing the Tigers need to fear is peaking ahead to next week's potential national championship elimination game against Florida State. No worries for the home team here.

(5) Stanford  (5-0) 37 @ Utah (3-2) 24: The Cardinal have this road game wedged in between home matchups with Washington and UCLA. The Utes took UCLA to the wire last week and could give Stanford a game. However, the Cardinal have more size than UCLA and that should be enough to make the difference.

(25) Missouri (5-0) 34 @ (7) Georgia 40:  Missouri has built that record and ranking against vastly inferior foes. Georgia is a big step up and I think the Tigers will be shell shocked early, then make a late run. Both teams can score, so look for another shootout between the hedges.

(9) Texas A&M  (4-1) 38 @ Ole Miss (3-2) 30: I would like to think A&M has a bad game in them, but I watched Johnny Football in person and I just can't pick against the Aggies until they face LSU, even if they'll have to contend with cowbells and that great environment in Oxford.

(17) Florida (4-1) 27 @ (10) LSU (4-1) 31: I can't wait to see this game. The Gators lone loss was at Miami when their red zone offense abandoned them. LSU lost in a thriller to Georgia on the road. I'm going to consult my trusty coin again...it's in the air...it's falling...it's heads. That means home team. Looks like I'm picking LSU.

California (1-4) 20 @ (11) UCLA (4-0) 37: Cal isn't horrible, yet the Pac-12 has risen to the second best conference in the country and they just haven't been able to keep up. The Bruins roll.

(12) Oklahoma (5-0) 28 vs. Texas (3-2) 24 (in Dallas): Mack Brown has righted the ship somewhat, thanks to close calls and a slightly improved defense. The Sooners have trouble scoring points, but I could rush for a few yard against the Longhorns. Mack stays on the hot seat after another loss in the Red River Rivalry. 

(14) South Carolina (4-1) 24 @ Arkansas (3-3) 27: I keep saying the Razorbacks will pull the upset, but it's a little tougher after the Hogs were dominated by Florida last week. The Gamecocks aren't exactly drilling opponents, so I'll stay with Arkansas here to get the win in Fayetteville.

(15) Baylor 41 (4-0) @ Kansas St. (2-3) 31: I like Kansas State coach Bill Snyder, but there is no way they have enough firepower to stay with Baylor, even at home. The Bears are virtually unstoppable and a convincing win in the Little Apple will go a long way to them getting more national recognition.

(18) Michigan (5-0) 30 @ Penn St. (3-2) 24:  I guess it took the Big Ten schedule begin for the Wolverines to wake up. I'd like to think the Nittany Lions have what it takes to pull the upset over a surprisingly low ranked Michigan squad. But I can't. Penn State fans should rejoice, since my picks in Big Ten games are horrendous.

(19) Northwestern (4-1)  30 @ Wisconsin (3-2) 31:  Both these teams lost to Ohio State in their last games.  I'm pleased to see Northwestern back in the mix, but I have to go with Wisconsin in Camp Randall.

Iowa St. (1-3) 20 @ (20) Texas Tech (5-0) 37: The Red Raiders will be too much for Iowa St. in this one.

Akron (1-5) 17 @ (23) Northern Illinois (5-0) 28: It's great to see a MAC team ranked. That's a very underrated conference and this year Northern Illinois is the class of the group.

Pittsburgh (3-1) @ (24) Virginia Tech (5-1): The Hokies always struggle with Pittsburgh and this one is a conference matchup again, with the Panthers joining the ACC this season. I look for Tech's defense to prevail and keep the Hokies in the hunt for a division championship.

Virginia (2-3) 17 @ Maryland (4-1) 27: Maryland should rebound after getting blown out by the Seminoles in Tallahassee.

Kansas (2-2)  21@ TCU (2-3) 30: TCU is better than their record and should get back on track against Kansas. 

Oregon St. (4-1) 27 @ Washington St. (4-2) 30: Oregon St. is flying under the radar, but they're facing a tough and battle tested team.

Indiana (3-2) 14 @ Michigan St. (4-1) 24: Michigan St. found some offense to go with that stout defense last week, which doesn't bode well for the Boilermakers.



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